Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Dawnbreaker wins the Dark Willow vs Dawnbreaker matchup: Dawnbreaker beats Dark Willow in 50.43% of 6,213 ranked matches.
Trying to control a fight as Dark Willow feels a bit tougher against a Dawnbreaker. Her typical burst and lockdown combo relies on the target being fragile enough to die or get chain-stunned. Dawnbreaker, however, is naturally durable and can often muscle through a Bramble Maze or Cursed Crown setup. She can use Starbreaker to stay on top of Willow and close distance, forcing an early Shadow Realm for defensive purposes. This disrupts Willow's preferred rhythm and prevents her from dictating the engagement from the edges of the fight.
Throughout the game, this means Dawnbreaker can apply pressure wherever Dark Willow is trying to set up plays. A Solar Guardian arriving during a gank can quickly turn the tables, leaving Willow exposed and out of position. To compensate, Willow has to play further back and be more patient, waiting for Dawnbreaker to commit her spells before using her own control. Good use of Terrorize can still reset a bad engagement, and with team follow-up, she can punish a Dawnbreaker who gets too aggressive. It's more a test of positioning than a direct counter.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Dawnbreaker in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 47.08% | 257 |
| Crusader & Archon | 47.03% | 842 |
| Legend & Ancient | 47.69% | 887 |
| Divine & Immortal | 52.57% | 506 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Dawnbreaker in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 49.57% | ▲ +1.5pp | 6,213 |
| 7.41d | 48.05% | ▲ +0.7pp | 63,836 |
| 7.41c | 47.39% | ▲ +0.9pp | 31,288 |
| 7.41b | 46.46% | — | 27,704 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Dawnbreaker on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.