Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Grimstroke wins the Dark Willow vs Grimstroke matchup: Grimstroke beats Dark Willow in 52.29% of 4,590 ranked matches.
Controlling the pace of the lane is difficult for Dark Willow when facing a Grimstroke. His long-range harass from Stroke of Fate can consistently wear down her small health pool from a distance where she can't easily retaliate. The more direct problem is Phantom's Embrace; a successful latch will silence Dark Willow, preventing her from using Shadow Realm to become untargetable and dodge incoming damage or stuns. This forces her to play much more passively, which can limit the farm for her lane partner and slow down her own item progression.
Later in the game, this dynamic creates openings for Grimstroke's team. Soulbind makes it dangerous for Dark Willow to position near her allies, as she can be disabled or killed as a side-effect of them being targeted. To succeed, Willow needs to play around vision, get the jump on Grimstroke with a Cursed Crown and Bramble Maze, or use Terrorize to counter-initiate before he can get his spells off. Grimstroke's kit simply makes it easier for him to initiate and control the engagement from the beginning.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Grimstroke in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 46.75% | 231 |
| Crusader & Archon | 46.94% | 588 |
| Legend & Ancient | 49.18% | 612 |
| Divine & Immortal | 53.33% | 300 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Grimstroke in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 47.71% | ▲ +0.7pp | 4,590 |
| 7.41d | 47.04% | ▼ -0.9pp | 48,120 |
| 7.41c | 47.97% | ▼ -0.1pp | 18,443 |
| 7.41b | 48.08% | — | 17,656 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Grimstroke on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.