Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Dark Willow wins the Dark Willow vs Muerta matchup: Dark Willow beats Muerta in 51.86% of 2,613 ranked matches.
Trying to burst down a Muerta often relies on catching her before she can react. Dark Willow has the tools for this with Cursed Crown and Bramble Maze, which can hold Muerta in place for a long time. The problem is that Dark Willow is also very fragile. A well-placed silence from The Calling can force her to retreat or burn Shadow Realm defensively, letting Muerta fire back freely. Shadow Realm is also Willow's best answer to dodge Muerta's physical damage, making the direct trade of spells and attacks a very close call.
This back-and-forth defines how fights play out. A successful gank on Muerta usually requires Dark Willow to get the jump from out of vision. If Muerta sees it coming, she can often turn the fight around. Even a successful initiation isn't a guaranteed kill; once Pierce the Veil is active, Muerta becomes a huge threat that Willow usually has to wait out. The whole matchup often comes down to which hero gets to use their spells first and whether the other has the right cooldown ready to respond.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Muerta in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 44.81% | 183 |
| Crusader & Archon | 54.35% | 368 |
| Legend & Ancient | 54.42% | 294 |
| Divine & Immortal | 56.46% | 147 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Muerta in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 51.86% | ▲ +0.9pp | 2,613 |
| 7.41d | 50.98% | ▲ +0.3pp | 35,360 |
| 7.41c | 50.69% | ▲ +1.7pp | 18,883 |
| 7.41b | 48.96% | — | 20,610 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Muerta on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.