Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Nyx Assassin wins the Dark Willow vs Nyx Assassin matchup: Nyx Assassin beats Dark Willow in 53.22% of 4,491 ranked matches.
Trying to burst a target with Bedlam often backfires horribly against a Nyx Assassin. His Spiked Carapace can instantly reflect the damage and stun Dark Willow, completely turning her own aggression against her. Beyond that, Nyx’s Mana Burn is devastating for a hero so reliant on her spell combos to be effective. A few well-timed burns can leave Willow unable to cast Cursed Crown or Bramble Maze, making her a non-factor in fights before they even begin. Nyx has the perfect kit to dismantle everything she wants to do.
This dynamic forces Dark Willow to play an entirely different game. Instead of setting up kills and being an offensive threat, she's stuck on the defensive, constantly worried about being found by an invisible Nyx Assassin. She can’t safely place wards or move between lanes alone. To have any impact, Willow needs to stay far behind her team and hope they can deal with Nyx before he gets to her. Otherwise, she’s little more than a quick kill and a source of mana for him across the entire map.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Nyx Assassin in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 45.58% | 226 |
| Crusader & Archon | 45.37% | 626 |
| Legend & Ancient | 50.08% | 615 |
| Divine & Immortal | 50.69% | 288 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Nyx Assassin in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 46.78% | ▲ +1.1pp | 4,491 |
| 7.41d | 45.71% | ▼ -0.2pp | 53,295 |
| 7.41c | 45.91% | ▼ -1.0pp | 20,674 |
| 7.41b | 46.92% | — | 20,961 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Nyx Assassin on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.