Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phoenix wins the Dark Willow vs Phoenix matchup: Phoenix beats Dark Willow in 51.90% of 422 ranked matches.
Thinking Dark Willow can burst Phoenix down before he uses his ultimate is a common trap. In reality, Phoenix makes her life difficult at all stages of the game. Early on, a volley of Fire Spirits shuts down her ability to trade by slowing her attack speed and applying constant damage to her low health pool. Later in fights, even if Dark Willow lands a Cursed Crown or Bramble Maze, Phoenix can usually survive long enough to cast Supernova. Once the egg is up, her burst spells are on cooldown and she offers very little for killing it, often leaving her exposed and unable to stop the eventual stun.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Phoenix in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 54.31% | 116 |
| Crusader & Archon | 44.65% | 374 |
| Legend & Ancient | 49.52% | 418 |
| Divine & Immortal | 51.02% | 196 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Phoenix in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.10% | ▲ +1.0pp | 422 |
| 7.41d | 47.10% | ▲ +0.7pp | 37,242 |
| 7.41c | 46.37% | ▲ +1.5pp | 22,262 |
| 7.41b | 44.82% | — | 26,164 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Phoenix on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.