Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Pudge wins the Dark Willow vs Pudge matchup: Pudge beats Dark Willow in 53.21% of 20,456 ranked matches.
Playing as a squishy support against Pudge means a single mistake can be fatal. For Dark Willow, getting caught by a Meat Hook almost always leads to a swift death from Dismember, as she lacks the health pool to survive the combo. Her main defense is Shadow Realm, which can make her untargetable to dodge the initial hook, but it requires sharp reflexes and good positioning. Pudge also builds up magic resistance over the game with Flesh Heap, making him more durable against Willow's magical burst from spells like Bedlam, which helps him close the distance on her.
This dynamic makes the early and mid-game a constant threat for Dark Willow, forcing her to play cautiously and maintain vision. In fights, her goal is to stay on the edge, using Bramble Maze and Cursed Crown to control Pudge and protect her teammates. Pudge's objective is much simpler: find and eliminate the fragile Dark Willow to cripple her team's control. The matchup slightly favors Pudge because his win condition is landing that one crucial hook, whereas Willow has to consistently outmaneuver him for the entire game.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Pudge in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 41.70% | 1,127 |
| Crusader & Archon | 44.62% | 3,131 |
| Legend & Ancient | 45.96% | 2,761 |
| Divine & Immortal | 48.20% | 1,195 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Pudge in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 46.79% | ▲ +0.3pp | 20,456 |
| 7.41d | 46.47% | ▼ -0.6pp | 217,504 |
| 7.41c | 47.10% | ▼ -0.1pp | 85,361 |
| 7.41b | 47.17% | — | 89,974 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Pudge on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.