Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Skywrath Mage wins the Dark Willow vs Skywrath Mage matchup: Skywrath Mage beats Dark Willow in 51.81% of 8,469 ranked matches.
Getting caught by Skywrath Mage’s Ancient Seal is a disaster for Dark Willow. It completely shuts down her ability to use Shadow Realm to become untargetable, leaving her exposed to his full magic burst. Because she's so fragile, she rarely survives this without help. The reverse is also true, though. Dark Willow's Cursed Crown can lock down the equally squishy Skywrath, who has no way to dispel it or escape on his own. A good stun will let her run him down with Bedlam before he can react.
The lane and mid-game often feel like a duel of who initiates first, so vision control is everything. A Skywrath Mage playing from the fog can easily land his silence, but if he pushes up too far, he’s an easy target for a wrap-around from Willow. In teamfights, it's a similar story: whichever of these two gets jumped on first by the other usually dies instantly. The entire game revolves around which of these glass cannons finds the other one out of position first.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Skywrath Mage in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 43.25% | 578 |
| Crusader & Archon | 45.60% | 1,228 |
| Legend & Ancient | 49.35% | 995 |
| Divine & Immortal | 51.43% | 385 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Skywrath Mage in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.19% | 0.0pp | 8,469 |
| 7.41d | 48.19% | ▼ -0.7pp | 95,301 |
| 7.41c | 48.85% | ▼ -0.4pp | 40,131 |
| 7.41b | 49.29% | — | 41,818 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Skywrath Mage on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.