Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41f win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41f, Dark Willow wins the Dark Willow vs Ursa matchup: Dark Willow beats Ursa in 50.48% of 17,688 ranked matches.
Trying to lock down an enraged Ursa is tricky for Dark Willow. Her Cursed Crown stun gets heavily shortened by his Enrage, so he can often shrug it off and keep attacking. This makes relying on her stun to kite him a bad plan once he has his ultimate. Her real defense is Shadow Realm. It lets her become untargetable and immune to his physical burst, buying crucial time for her cooldowns or for help to arrive. Bramble Maze can also slow his approach, but it won't stop him if he's already on top of a target.
Early laning tends to favor Dark Willow, as she can harass Ursa before he gets his key items. Once he has a Blink Dagger, though, the game changes completely. It becomes a duel of reaction times. If Ursa can initiate and burst her down before she can activate Shadow Realm, he wins. If she anticipates the jump, she can dodge his entire Overpower combo and turn the fight with her spells. The outcome of their encounters really hinges on vision control and who gets the first action, making it a volatile and balanced fight.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Ursa in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 55.31% | 179 |
| Crusader & Archon | 47.36% | 473 |
| Legend & Ancient | 50.74% | 538 |
| Divine & Immortal | 55.43% | 184 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Ursa in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41f | 50.48% | ▼ -0.5pp | 17,688 |
| 7.41e | 50.94% | ▼ -0.2pp | 49,123 |
| 7.41d | 51.12% | ▲ +0.2pp | 50,174 |
| 7.41c | 50.88% | — | 22,212 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Ursa on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Oct 4, 2026.