Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Skywrath Mage wins the Phoenix vs Skywrath Mage matchup: Skywrath Mage beats Phoenix in 51.43% of 8,440 ranked matches.
Fights between these two often hinge on a single cooldown. Skywrath Mage brings a potent silence with Ancient Seal, which can completely prevent Phoenix from using Supernova and turn a big teamfight ultimate into a quick death. The magic amplification also makes it much easier to burst Phoenix down before the egg is even an option. On the other hand, if Phoenix successfully casts Supernova, Skywrath is one of the worst heroes to deal with it. His low attack speed is crippled by Fire Spirits, and if he can't kill the egg, the area-wide stun is a death sentence for a fragile, immobile hero like him.
This dynamic creates a constant mind game through the mid-game. The Skywrath Mage player must try to hold his silence for the Phoenix dive, while the Phoenix player looks for an opportunity when that silence is used on someone else or is otherwise on cooldown. It often comes down to vision and positioning, as neither hero wants to be the one initiating on the other without backup. The winner of the engagement is usually the one whose team better enables their specific win condition: instant silence and burst, or an uninterrupted ultimate.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Phoenix's win rate against Skywrath Mage in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Phoenix win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 45.97% | 372 |
| Crusader & Archon | 50.08% | 1,208 |
| Legend & Ancient | 45.04% | 1,048 |
| Divine & Immortal | 50.68% | 442 |
Phoenix's win rate against Skywrath Mage in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Phoenix win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.57% | ▲ +0.5pp | 8,440 |
| 7.41d | 48.03% | ▼ -0.3pp | 103,923 |
| 7.41c | 48.33% | ▼ -1.9pp | 60,785 |
| 7.41b | 50.20% | — | 68,189 |
Move this data into a draft
Phoenix starts on Radiant and Skywrath Mage on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.