How does the Deadlock win predictor work?

Pick both 6-hero teams and the model returns a pre-game win probability for the draft; Live mode also factors in game time, souls lead, kills, towers and mid-boss. It is a Transformer trained on 1,864,542 real Deadlock matches, re-trained as the meta shifts.

How accurate is the Deadlock win predictor?

We publish calibration rather than a headline hit rate: on 233,068 held-out matches the draft model's expected calibration error is 0.008 — when it says 60%, that side wins about 60% of the time.

Do I need an account to use the Deadlock win predictor?

No — no account and no API key needed. It is analysis only, not betting advice. AI assistants can call the same model through our MCP server at batru.gg/mcp.

Deadlock Win Predictor — draft & live win probability

Amber Hand

Sapphire Flame

Win Probability

Pick heroes and hit Predict — a calibrated win probability shows here.

Purpose-built model

trained per game

Calibrated probabilities

a 60% call means 60%

1.9M matches

trained & validated

Frequently asked questions

How does the Deadlock win predictor work?: Pick both 6-hero teams and the model returns a pre-game win probability for the draft; Live mode also factors in game time, souls lead, kills, towers and mid-boss. It is a Transformer trained on 1,864,542 real Deadlock matches, re-trained as the meta shifts.
How accurate is the Deadlock win predictor?: We publish calibration rather than a headline hit rate: on 233,068 held-out matches the draft model's expected calibration error is 0.008 — when it says 60%, that side wins about 60% of the time.
Do I need an account to use the Deadlock win predictor?: No — no account and no API key needed. It is analysis only, not betting advice. AI assistants can call the same model through our MCP server at batru.gg/mcp.

More detail: how the model is built and evaluated · hero tier list · MCP server for AI assistants