Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Arc Warden wins the Arc Warden vs Dark Willow matchup: Arc Warden beats Dark Willow in 55.01% of 2,485 ranked matches.
Catching the real Arc Warden is the core problem for Dark Willow. He uses his Tempest Double to apply pressure from safety, forcing her to guess which target is real before committing her control spells. Even if she finds him, a well-placed Magnetic Field can negate much of the follow-up physical damage from her team. On the other side, a patient Dark Willow is difficult for Arc Warden to kill. She can use Shadow Realm to dodge his attacks and Spark Wraiths, buying time for her allies to react. Her own teamfight spells like Terrorize can also turn a push around completely, scattering Arc Warden's team and leaving him or his clone exposed.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Dark Willow in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 52.75% | 182 |
| Crusader & Archon | 55.85% | 419 |
| Legend & Ancient | 57.40% | 277 |
| Divine & Immortal | 48.03% | 127 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Dark Willow in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 55.01% | ▲ +1.6pp | 2,485 |
| 7.41d | 53.41% | ▲ +2.8pp | 26,431 |
| 7.41c | 50.62% | ▲ +0.3pp | 9,868 |
| 7.41b | 50.27% | — | 11,692 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Dark Willow on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.