Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Dawnbreaker wins the Arc Warden vs Dawnbreaker matchup: Dawnbreaker beats Arc Warden in 50.87% of 4,881 ranked matches.
Controlling the map against Arc Warden becomes much simpler with a Dawnbreaker in the game. Her entire kit is built to close distance and lock down a target, which is exactly what you need against a hero who relies on kiting from inside his Magnetic Field. Dawnbreaker can use Celestial Hammer to fly right on top of Arc Warden, ignoring any Spark Wraiths he’s placed for protection. Once she lands, her stuns and magic damage don't care about his evasion, so he can't really fight back.
This dynamic completely shuts down Arc Warden's typical game plan. He wants to split the map and farm safely with his Tempest Double, but Dawnbreaker's Solar Guardian makes that impossible. If the real Arc Warden is ever visible, she can coordinate a gank from anywhere on the map. This forces him to play passively, ceding map control and objective timers. While he's trying not to die, Dawnbreaker is free to push towers and take fights with her team.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Dawnbreaker in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 43.86% | 285 |
| Crusader & Archon | 47.80% | 749 |
| Legend & Ancient | 48.48% | 693 |
| Divine & Immortal | 50.39% | 254 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Dawnbreaker in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 49.13% | ▲ +0.7pp | 4,881 |
| 7.41d | 48.42% | ▲ +2.3pp | 48,885 |
| 7.41c | 46.17% | ▲ +1.6pp | 22,724 |
| 7.41b | 44.62% | — | 20,654 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Dawnbreaker on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.