Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Arc Warden wins the Arc Warden vs Skywrath Mage matchup: Arc Warden beats Skywrath Mage in 52.95% of 6,168 ranked matches.
Trying to land a full combo on Arc Warden presents a classic dilemma for Skywrath Mage. While Skywrath's magic burst from abilities like Mystic Flare completely ignores the evasion from Magnetic Field, he can only target one hero at a time. Committing his silence and ultimate on the real Arc Warden can secure a kill, but if he guesses wrong and hits the Tempest Double, he's left with nothing while the real hero is free to attack. Arc Warden's goal is to create this confusion and force a mistake, while Skywrath needs perfect information to be effective.
This dynamic often makes the laning stage favorable for Skywrath Mage, who can bully a solo Arc Warden with his superior harass. As the game goes on, however, the matchup tends to even out. A farmed Arc Warden can use his Tempest Double to split-push lanes and force reactions, or use it to hunt the fragile Skywrath in teamfights. The game becomes a test of positioning and vision control. If Skywrath can find and burst the real Arc Warden before a fight, his team can win. If he can't, the Tempest Double will likely find and eliminate him first.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Skywrath Mage in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 50.63% | 478 |
| Crusader & Archon | 50.71% | 1,134 |
| Legend & Ancient | 51.16% | 649 |
| Divine & Immortal | 57.69% | 182 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Skywrath Mage in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 52.95% | ▲ +1.9pp | 6,168 |
| 7.41d | 51.06% | ▲ +0.2pp | 66,950 |
| 7.41c | 50.83% | ▲ +0.6pp | 25,009 |
| 7.41b | 50.23% | — | 27,731 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Skywrath Mage on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.