Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Arc Warden wins the Arc Warden vs Ursa matchup: Arc Warden beats Ursa in 53.22% of 3,542 ranked matches.
Trying to run down an Arc Warden is a frustrating experience for Ursa. Magnetic Field provides evasion that can completely negate an Overpower burst, preventing Fury Swipes from stacking up. This forces Ursa to either wait out the field or try to switch targets, both of which waste his limited window of strength. On top of that, Arc Warden can place Spark Wraiths to slow an approach and scout for ganks, making it difficult for Ursa to get a clean initiation. The Tempest Double lets Arc do all of this from a safe distance, often baiting out Ursa's key spells on a clone.
The whole game becomes about positioning. Ursa needs to get a Blink Dagger to have a chance, ideally with a Black King Bar to ignore the magic damage and slows. Arc Warden, on the other hand, is happy to split the map and force reactions. He can kite Ursa effectively if the fight starts on his terms. While Ursa can certainly win a fight if he gets a perfect jump with the right items, Arc Warden usually has the tools to control the engagement and keep the bear from ever connecting, giving him a small advantage.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Ursa in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 53.87% | 284 |
| Crusader & Archon | 51.14% | 614 |
| Legend & Ancient | 56.82% | 352 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Ursa in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 53.22% | ▲ +0.1pp | 3,542 |
| 7.41d | 53.16% | ▲ +1.0pp | 42,084 |
| 7.41c | 52.21% | ▲ +0.4pp | 17,880 |
| 7.41b | 51.86% | — | 19,475 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Ursa on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.