Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Arc Warden wins the Arc Warden vs Vengeful Spirit matchup: Arc Warden beats Vengeful Spirit in 50.33% of 5,997 ranked matches.
Trying to burst a target from a safe distance with Tempest Double often goes wrong against Vengeful Spirit. Her Nether Swap is the main problem, as it can either save the target or, more dangerously, pull the real Arc Warden out of position and into the middle of the fight. This completely undermines Arc Warden’s core strategy of dealing damage from safety. Adding a reliable stun from Magic Missile to lock down the real hero and armor reduction from Wave of Terror means Vengeful Spirit has several tools to create kill opportunities on a hero who relies on staying hidden.
The game becomes a tense hunt for the real Arc Warden. While he tries to split-push and farm with his clone, Vengeful Spirit enables her team to close the distance and find him. A successful Swap on the real hero is often a death sentence, forcing Arc Warden to play cautiously and use his clone to scout and bait cooldowns. Even if Vengeful Spirit is traded in a fight, her death illusion can persist, providing vision and making it difficult for Arc Warden to reposition safely. This constant threat of being exposed is what gives her a small advantage.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Vengeful Spirit in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 46.94% | 392 |
| Crusader & Archon | 48.05% | 976 |
| Legend & Ancient | 50.96% | 779 |
| Divine & Immortal | 53.04% | 230 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Vengeful Spirit in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 50.33% | ▲ +2.8pp | 5,997 |
| 7.41d | 47.54% | ▼ -0.8pp | 60,604 |
| 7.41c | 48.32% | ▲ +1.8pp | 16,241 |
| 7.41b | 46.53% | — | 17,160 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Vengeful Spirit on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.