Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Lich wins the Dark Willow vs Lich matchup: Lich beats Dark Willow in 52.61% of 7,783 ranked matches.
Picking Dark Willow into an enemy support who can punish your aggression is always a risk. Lich is a prime example of this problem. His Frost Shield is a simple but effective way to reduce the burst damage from Bedlam or a big Shadow Realm attack, often giving the target just enough time to survive and turn the fight. More importantly, Sinister Gaze is a perfect answer for a Dark Willow who has to break her invisibility to cast spells or attack. It locks her down and pulls her into a bad spot, making her an easy target for the rest of Lich’s team.
Across the game, this dynamic forces the Dark Willow player to be much more cautious. Running in with Bedlam becomes a huge gamble if Sinister Gaze is available. Instead, she has to play patiently, perhaps using Terrorize to scatter the enemy team before committing, or waiting for Lich to use his spells on someone else. For the Lich player, the game plan is straightforward: stay near your cores, keep Frost Shield active on whoever Willow is likely to target, and hold your channelled disable for when she finally reveals herself. This reactive strength gives Lich a consistent, if small, advantage in teamfights.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Lich in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 44.33% | 388 |
| Crusader & Archon | 48.12% | 933 |
| Legend & Ancient | 47.03% | 993 |
| Divine & Immortal | 49.89% | 449 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Lich in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 47.39% | ▲ +0.6pp | 7,783 |
| 7.41d | 46.81% | ▼ -0.8pp | 81,134 |
| 7.41c | 47.62% | ▼ -0.2pp | 36,093 |
| 7.41b | 47.82% | — | 38,190 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Lich on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.