Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Lion wins the Dark Willow vs Lion matchup: Lion beats Dark Willow in 50.21% of 18,294 ranked matches.
Thinking you can reliably react to Lion's initiation is a common mistake. Dark Willow's Shadow Realm is an excellent escape, but Lion's Hex is an instant-cast disable. If he gets the jump on her, there is no window to react and become untargetable. This turns many encounters into a test of prediction and positioning. Lion has a direct, point-and-click way to lock her down before she can use her spells, which gives him a natural edge in one-on-one situations. Dark Willow can still play around this with good vision and by anticipating his movements, but the pressure is on her to make the first move.
Throughout the game, this interaction defines how they play around each other. Lion will often look for opportunities to blink in and use Hex to set up a kill on Dark Willow, especially once he has Finger of Death. For the Dark Willow player, survival means staying on the fringes of teamfights, using her teammates as a shield. She has to wait for Lion to commit his spells on a different target before she can safely move in with Bedlam to do her damage. The onus is on her to position perfectly, while Lion can often force the issue.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Lion in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 48.19% | 1,050 |
| Crusader & Archon | 49.46% | 2,600 |
| Legend & Ancient | 49.59% | 2,430 |
| Divine & Immortal | 51.69% | 886 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Lion in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 49.79% | ▲ +1.0pp | 18,294 |
| 7.41d | 48.78% | ▲ +1.0pp | 195,213 |
| 7.41c | 47.78% | ▼ -0.4pp | 87,732 |
| 7.41b | 48.22% | — | 87,876 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Lion on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.