Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41f win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41f, Luna wins the Dark Willow vs Luna matchup: Luna beats Dark Willow in 50.50% of 33,193 ranked matches.
Thinking Dark Willow is an easy target for a physical carry often proves to be a mistake. Luna's greatest strength is her high physical damage output, but Willow's Shadow Realm makes her completely immune to all those attacks. This creates a standoff where Luna is forced to either switch targets or rely on her magical damage. Luna’s Eclipse is still a major threat, but Willow can use Shadow Realm to either dodge the start of it or simply burst Luna from a safe distance. It forces both heroes to play carefully around each other's key defensive and offensive cooldowns.
The matchup really comes down to item timings and who gets the jump. Before Luna gets a Black King Bar, Dark Willow has a much easier time controlling her with Bramble Maze and Cursed Crown, setting her up for ganks. Once Luna has her BKB, the tables turn and she can run straight at Willow. Because of this, fights are often decided by positioning. If Luna can catch Willow before she reacts, a quick Lucent Beam into Eclipse can secure the kill. If Willow gets the initiation, she can lock Luna down and win the engagement for her team.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Luna in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 48.64% | 257 |
| Crusader & Archon | 49.45% | 821 |
| Legend & Ancient | 49.40% | 1,081 |
| Divine & Immortal | 48.29% | 584 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Luna in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41f | 49.50% | ▲ +0.8pp | 33,193 |
| 7.41e | 48.67% | ▲ +0.6pp | 97,696 |
| 7.41d | 48.11% | ▼ -0.9pp | 67,686 |
| 7.41c | 48.97% | — | 23,798 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Luna on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Oct 5, 2026.