Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Dark Willow wins the Dark Willow vs Mars matchup: Dark Willow beats Mars in 57.52% of 339 ranked matches.
Picking a durable initiator like Mars into a Dark Willow often creates an awkward dynamic. Mars wants to control a fight by trapping enemies in his Arena of Blood, setting up kills for his team. Dark Willow's spells are well-suited to spoiling this plan. Shadow Realm lets her reposition or become untargetable to dodge his initial burst, even from inside the Arena. Following up with Bramble Maze or Cursed Crown can then punish Mars and his allies for committing to a fight inside the circle he created, turning his advantage into a liability.
This core interaction makes teamfights very tense. A smart Mars player will try to bait out Shadow Realm before using his ultimate, or focus on a target that can't easily escape. Dark Willow, in turn, must play from a position where she can react to the Arena without getting caught herself. The fight often hinges on this timing. If Mars can find his opening while Willow's spells are on cooldown, his initiation works as intended. If she's ready, however, she consistently makes his biggest teamfight contribution much less effective.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Mars in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 48.18% | 110 |
| Crusader & Archon | 55.62% | 365 |
| Legend & Ancient | 52.97% | 353 |
| Divine & Immortal | 58.59% | 198 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Mars in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 57.52% | ▲ +6.0pp | 339 |
| 7.41d | 51.50% | ▼ -1.1pp | 34,300 |
| 7.41c | 52.57% | ▼ -0.4pp | 20,681 |
| 7.41b | 52.98% | — | 22,854 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Mars on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.