Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Pugna wins the Dark Willow vs Pugna matchup: Pugna beats Dark Willow in 54.18% of 2,942 ranked matches.
Trying to unload a full combo as Dark Willow is often a mistake when Pugna is on the other team. His Nether Ward punishes her for every spell she casts, rapidly draining her health before she can secure a kill. This forces Willow to play more cautiously and hold her abilities. Pugna can also use Decrepify to save a core from her Bedlam damage, neutering her physical burst potential from a safe distance. While Dark Willow can use Cursed Crown to interrupt Life Drain or Shadow Realm to dodge spells, the constant pressure from the Ward gives Pugna a small but persistent advantage in teamfights where she wants to be most active.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Pugna in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 42.49% | 193 |
| Crusader & Archon | 44.08% | 422 |
| Legend & Ancient | 45.69% | 348 |
| Divine & Immortal | 51.28% | 117 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Pugna in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 45.82% | ▼ -1.9pp | 2,942 |
| 7.41d | 47.75% | ▲ +0.4pp | 30,540 |
| 7.41c | 47.36% | ▼ -0.4pp | 14,473 |
| 7.41b | 47.77% | — | 14,938 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Pugna on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.