Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Rubick wins the Dark Willow vs Rubick matchup: Rubick beats Dark Willow in 50.33% of 12,575 ranked matches.
Stealing one of Dark Willow's ultimates is the dream scenario, but it's much harder to pull off than it seems. Grabbing Bedlam requires Rubick to be dangerously close, putting him at risk of her whole combo. For Terrorize, a good Willow can cast it and instantly use Shadow Realm, often denying the window for Spell Steal entirely. This means Rubick frequently ends up with a Cursed Crown or Bramble Maze instead. While these are fine spells, they're rarely the game-breaking abilities he's looking for, making the value of his signature spell highly conditional in this matchup.
Throughout the game, this creates a tense dynamic. In lane, they are both fragile heroes who can threaten each other, but Shadow Realm gives Dark Willow a reliable escape from Telekinesis setups. Later, teamfights become a mind game. The Rubick player is constantly positioning for that perfect ultimate steal, while the Dark Willow player has to track him and decide when, or if, to use her biggest spells. If Rubick misses his opportunity or is forced to steal a lesser spell, Willow's own crowd control and damage can easily have a greater impact on the fight's outcome.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Rubick in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 43.45% | 458 |
| Crusader & Archon | 49.73% | 1,679 |
| Legend & Ancient | 47.29% | 1,958 |
| Divine & Immortal | 50.41% | 986 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Rubick in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 49.67% | ▲ +0.4pp | 12,575 |
| 7.41d | 49.29% | ▲ +0.5pp | 132,967 |
| 7.41c | 48.79% | ▲ +0.6pp | 62,255 |
| 7.41b | 48.22% | — | 65,028 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Rubick on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.