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Dark Willow vs Rubick

Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.

Favored
Rubick 50.33%
Dark Willow49.67%
Rubick50.33%
Over 12,575 ranked matches (7.41e).

In Dota 2 7.41e, Rubick wins the Dark Willow vs Rubick matchup: Rubick beats Dark Willow in 50.33% of 12,575 ranked matches.

How this matchup plays

Stealing one of Dark Willow's ultimates is the dream scenario, but it's much harder to pull off than it seems. Grabbing Bedlam requires Rubick to be dangerously close, putting him at risk of her whole combo. For Terrorize, a good Willow can cast it and instantly use Shadow Realm, often denying the window for Spell Steal entirely. This means Rubick frequently ends up with a Cursed Crown or Bramble Maze instead. While these are fine spells, they're rarely the game-breaking abilities he's looking for, making the value of his signature spell highly conditional in this matchup.

Throughout the game, this creates a tense dynamic. In lane, they are both fragile heroes who can threaten each other, but Shadow Realm gives Dark Willow a reliable escape from Telekinesis setups. Later, teamfights become a mind game. The Rubick player is constantly positioning for that perfect ultimate steal, while the Dark Willow player has to track him and decide when, or if, to use her biggest spells. If Rubick misses his opportunity or is forced to steal a lesser spell, Willow's own crowd control and damage can easily have a greater impact on the fight's outcome.

Dark Willow vs Rubick by rank

How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Rubick in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.

RankDark Willow win rateMatches
Herald & Guardian43.45%458
Crusader & Archon49.73%1,679
Legend & Ancient47.29%1,958
Divine & Immortal50.41%986

Dark Willow vs Rubick across patches

Dark Willow's win rate against Rubick in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.

PatchDark Willow win rateChangeMatches
7.41e 49.67%▲ +0.4pp12,575
7.41d 49.29%▲ +0.5pp132,967
7.41c 48.79%▲ +0.6pp62,255
7.41b 48.22%65,028

Move this data into a draft

Put Dark Willow against Rubick

Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Rubick on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.

Radiant4 open
Dark Willow
Dire4 open
Rubick
Open with heroes loaded

Frequently asked questions

Does Dark Willow counter Rubick?
Dark Willow wins 49.67% of ranked matches against Rubick in Dota 2 7.41e (12,575 matches) — the matchup favors Rubick.
Does Rubick counter Dark Willow?
Rubick wins 50.33% of ranked matches against Dark Willow in Dota 2 7.41e (12,575 matches) — the matchup favors Rubick.
How many matches back the Dark Willow vs Rubick win rate?
12,575 quality-filtered ranked matches from patch 7.41e, refreshed as new matches are ingested daily.

Data updated Aug 17, 2026.