Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Dark Willow wins the Dark Willow vs Timbersaw matchup: Dark Willow beats Timbersaw in 56.57% of 350 ranked matches.
Keeping up in farm and pressure is a real problem for Timbersaw in this matchup. The core of the issue is Dark Willow's control and magic burst. Cursed Crown forces him to either invest in an early dispel item, delaying his core timings, or risk getting stunned and focused down. His main escape tool, Timber Chain, is also unreliable against a good Bramble Maze placement, which can leave him stranded and vulnerable. While Timbersaw tries to close the distance, Willow can use Shadow Realm to become untargetable, wait out his initial burst, and then counter-initiate with Bedlam. He just can't stick to his target or survive the sustained magic damage she outputs.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Timbersaw in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 57.24% | 152 |
| Crusader & Archon | 53.98% | 339 |
| Legend & Ancient | 56.72% | 268 |
| Divine & Immortal | 53.64% | 151 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Timbersaw in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 56.57% | ▲ +3.2pp | 350 |
| 7.41d | 53.40% | ▲ +0.2pp | 27,679 |
| 7.41c | 53.18% | ▼ -1.7pp | 12,849 |
| 7.41b | 54.87% | — | 11,081 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Timbersaw on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.