Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Sniper wins the Dark Willow vs Sniper matchup: Sniper beats Dark Willow in 52.72% of 14,091 ranked matches.
Trying to pin down a good Sniper is where Dark Willow struggles. Most of her spells, like Cursed Crown and Bedlam, require her to get fairly close to a target. Sniper's entire game plan is built around preventing that. With his massive attack range from Take Aim, he can usually sit far behind his team, well outside of Willow's initiation zone. If she tries to run at him, he can slow her with Shrapnel and simply walk away while still attacking. Her Shadow Realm can help her reposition or dodge an Assassinate, but it doesn't solve the fundamental problem of closing the distance.
This forces Dark Willow to rely on surprise or team setup to be effective against him. She typically needs a Blink Dagger to have any real solo kill threat. Without it, Sniper can dictate the spacing of a fight and safely chip away at her and her teammates. However, the matchup isn't completely one-sided. If Dark Willow successfully gets the jump on Sniper, he's extremely fragile and lacks escape. A surprise Cursed Crown or a well-placed Bramble Maze is often a death sentence for him, which keeps the dynamic from being too lopsided.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Sniper in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 44.15% | 1,042 |
| Crusader & Archon | 46.68% | 2,168 |
| Legend & Ancient | 48.18% | 1,594 |
| Divine & Immortal | 49.06% | 373 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Sniper in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 47.28% | ▼ -0.0pp | 14,091 |
| 7.41d | 47.32% | ▲ +1.1pp | 159,805 |
| 7.41c | 46.17% | ▼ -1.6pp | 65,847 |
| 7.41b | 47.73% | — | 65,150 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Sniper on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.