Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Spectre wins the Dark Willow vs Spectre matchup: Spectre beats Dark Willow in 54.33% of 843 ranked matches.
Farming the map or placing deep wards becomes incredibly dangerous for Dark Willow once Spectre gets her ultimate. Haunt allows Spectre to punish any solo movement from across the map, instantly appearing next to her target. Willow's main defensive tool, Shadow Realm, offers little safety here; the Haunt illusion is already on top of her, and Spectre can commit fully the moment she reappears. Even if Willow tries to fight back with Bedlam, Spectre’s natural tankiness from Dispersion soaks up most of the magic damage, leaving her free to finish the job.
The dynamic shifts heavily once Spectre hits her first major timing. Dark Willow can have an okay time in the lane, but from the mid-game on, she's a primary target. Her survival depends entirely on sticking with her team and using Terrorize reactively to create space when Spectre jumps in. Spectre’s game plan is straightforward: farm until Haunt is available, then use it to pick off a vulnerable backliner like Willow to start a fight or secure an objective. A Ghost Scepter is mandatory for Willow, but it's a constant race against Spectre's ever-increasing damage.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Spectre in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 43.42% | 380 |
| Crusader & Archon | 44.30% | 903 |
| Legend & Ancient | 45.38% | 758 |
| Divine & Immortal | 47.92% | 313 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Spectre in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 45.67% | ▲ +2.5pp | 843 |
| 7.41d | 43.19% | ▲ +0.2pp | 76,119 |
| 7.41c | 42.98% | ▼ -0.9pp | 30,615 |
| 7.41b | 43.89% | — | 30,686 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Spectre on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.