Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Dark Willow wins the Dark Willow vs Tusk matchup: Dark Willow beats Tusk in 52.06% of 3,974 ranked matches.
A Tusk trying to initiate on Dark Willow often finds it's a test of reflexes. The travel time on Snowball gives Willow a clear window to activate Shadow Realm, making her untargetable and letting her dodge the entire combo. Even if Tusk does manage to get on top of her, he's not safe. A well-placed Bramble Maze can root him the moment he arrives, turning his aggressive play into a mistake. Cursed Crown adds another layer of threat, as the delayed stun can easily catch Tusk after he's committed his spells, leaving him exposed for a counter-attack.
This dynamic creates a standoff throughout the game. During the laning phase, neither hero can consistently bully the other or secure solo kills without a significant mistake from their opponent. In mid-game teamfights, the outcome depends on who gets the jump. A Tusk who can initiate from vision with a Blink Dagger might catch Willow before she can react. On the other hand, if Dark Willow establishes vision control first, she can use her control spells to catch Tusk out of position and prevent him from starting a fight for his team.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Tusk in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 50.86% | 175 |
| Crusader & Archon | 52.29% | 459 |
| Legend & Ancient | 52.15% | 629 |
| Divine & Immortal | 49.73% | 366 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Tusk in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 52.06% | ▲ +0.4pp | 3,974 |
| 7.41d | 51.69% | ▲ +0.7pp | 39,306 |
| 7.41c | 50.96% | ▼ -0.3pp | 17,106 |
| 7.41b | 51.29% | — | 19,747 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Tusk on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.