Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Dawnbreaker wins the Dawnbreaker vs Rubick matchup: Dawnbreaker beats Rubick in 53.49% of 2,847 ranked matches.
Picking Rubick into a Dawnbreaker feels like a high-risk, high-reward choice. On paper, stealing Solar Guardian is a game-winning play, and even nabbing Starbreaker is a great pickup. The problem for Rubick is that Dawnbreaker's whole kit is designed to close distances and brawl. She can easily dive past his teammates with Celestial Hammer and overwhelm him before he can steal anything meaningful. Her natural durability also makes Fade Bolt a minor nuisance, leaving Telekinesis as his only real defense, which often is not enough to escape her sustained pressure.
Throughout the game, Dawnbreaker actively wants to find and jump on Rubick, who is an ideal victim for her initiation. The Rubick player is forced to maintain perfect positioning far behind his team, hoping to steal a key spell without getting caught. Dawnbreaker, on the other hand, can play her normal game, knowing her default strategy naturally counters the hero who wants to steal her best ability. This forces Rubick into a reactive and defensive posture from the mid-game onward, giving Dawnbreaker's team the initiative.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dawnbreaker's win rate against Rubick in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dawnbreaker win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 52.89% | 484 |
| Crusader & Archon | 52.18% | 2,114 |
| Legend & Ancient | 52.15% | 3,074 |
| Divine & Immortal | 52.35% | 1,490 |
Dawnbreaker's win rate against Rubick in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dawnbreaker win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 53.49% | ▲ +1.1pp | 2,847 |
| 7.41d | 52.40% | ▲ +0.1pp | 227,393 |
| 7.41c | 52.26% | ▼ -0.2pp | 160,883 |
| 7.41b | 52.44% | — | 134,164 |
Move this data into a draft
Dawnbreaker starts on Radiant and Rubick on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.