Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Skywrath Mage wins the Ember Spirit vs Skywrath Mage matchup: Skywrath Mage beats Ember Spirit in 52.14% of 10,682 ranked matches.
Trying to burst down an Ember Spirit is a test of perfect timing. Skywrath Mage has all the tools he needs on paper, with Ancient Seal providing a silence and magic amplification for a devastating Mystic Flare. The issue is landing that combo. Ember Spirit's Flame Guard can absorb a significant portion of Skywrath's initial harassment, and a well-timed Sleight of Fist can dodge the incoming silence entirely. Even if caught, Ember can often escape to a pre-placed Fire Remnant before the full duration of Mystic Flare connects, leaving Skywrath with nothing.
This standoff continues for the entire game and often comes down to who gets the jump. An Ember Spirit initiating on Skywrath Mage will usually secure the kill before he can retaliate. On the other hand, a Skywrath who catches Ember out of position without a remnant available can instantly delete him. The matchup becomes a battle of positioning, vision, and itemization. Key items like a Eul's Scepter or Linken's Sphere on Ember can completely shut down Skywrath's aggression, while a Rod of Atos for Skywrath can provide the lockdown needed to secure his combo.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Ember Spirit's win rate against Skywrath Mage in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Ember Spirit win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 44.29% | 499 |
| Crusader & Archon | 48.08% | 1,354 |
| Legend & Ancient | 46.37% | 1,445 |
| Divine & Immortal | 50.95% | 632 |
Ember Spirit's win rate against Skywrath Mage in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Ember Spirit win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 47.86% | ▼ -0.1pp | 10,682 |
| 7.41d | 47.93% | ▼ -0.4pp | 114,137 |
| 7.41c | 48.28% | ▼ -0.5pp | 55,781 |
| 7.41b | 48.76% | — | 59,736 |
Move this data into a draft
Ember Spirit starts on Radiant and Skywrath Mage on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.