Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phoenix wins the Lion vs Phoenix matchup: Phoenix beats Lion in 51.76% of 18,419 ranked matches.
Trying to secure a kill on Phoenix is a high-stakes gamble for Lion. Lion's instant Hex is perfect for stopping Phoenix from using Icarus Dive to escape or repositioning with Sun Ray. The problem arises if Phoenix is able to cast Supernova before he dies. Once the egg is down, Lion has no real way to destroy it by himself. His single-target burst from Finger of Death is useless against the egg, and he lacks the attack speed to contribute meaningfully. What starts as a potential pickoff can easily turn into a fight-losing stun for Lion and his team.
This dynamic forces both heroes to play around each other's key cooldowns. Lion wants to initiate from fog with a Blink Dagger, hoping to delete Phoenix before he can react. A successful kill can open up the map for an objective. In response, Phoenix has to position carefully, using his team as a shield and baiting Lion into a bad position. He wants the fight to be messy and prolonged, where Supernova can cause maximum disruption. The outcome often depends on which player better anticipates the other's movements and forces an engagement on their own terms.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lion's win rate against Phoenix in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lion win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 43.68% | 767 |
| Crusader & Archon | 46.20% | 2,658 |
| Legend & Ancient | 47.62% | 2,648 |
| Divine & Immortal | 47.46% | 1,083 |
Lion's win rate against Phoenix in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lion win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.24% | ▼ -0.8pp | 18,419 |
| 7.41d | 49.06% | ▼ -0.4pp | 228,726 |
| 7.41c | 49.50% | ▲ +1.7pp | 148,057 |
| 7.41b | 47.81% | — | 158,350 |
Move this data into a draft
Lion starts on Radiant and Phoenix on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.