Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Lycan wins the Lycan vs Muerta matchup: Lycan beats Muerta in 54.79% of 772 ranked matches.
Choosing to run Lycan at a Muerta hinges on who gets the jump and which cooldowns are available. Lycan’s entire game plan of overwhelming a target with Shapeshift can be completely stonewalled if Muerta has Pierce the Veil ready. She becomes immune to his physical damage, wasting his most important cooldown and leaving him vulnerable. However, if Shapeshift is used to catch Muerta when her ultimate is down, her lack of an escape means she dies quickly to his pack. The Calling provides a decent counter-initiation tool for Muerta against the summons, but the fight is usually decided by that key ultimate trade, making the outcome highly dependent on timing and vision.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lycan's win rate against Muerta in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lycan win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 57.43% | 101 |
Lycan's win rate against Muerta in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lycan win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 54.79% | ▲ +2.4pp | 772 |
| 7.41d | 52.39% | ▲ +0.7pp | 10,273 |
| 7.41c | 51.69% | ▲ +3.3pp | 8,123 |
| 7.41b | 48.37% | — | 7,987 |
Move this data into a draft
Lycan starts on Radiant and Muerta on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.