Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Nyx Assassin wins the Lycan vs Nyx Assassin matchup: Nyx Assassin beats Lycan in 55.25% of 1,305 ranked matches.
It seems like a Shapeshifted Lycan with a full army should run down any single hero, but this matchup is a classic trap. Nyx Assassin has the perfect kit to dismantle Lycan's game plan. If Lycan tries to focus him with right-clicks, a well-timed Spiked Carapace will stun Lycan and leave him vulnerable. Outside of direct fights, Mana Burn constantly drains Lycan's small mana pool, preventing him from summoning wolves or having his ultimate ready. Vendetta also lets Nyx easily hunt and kill a split-pushing Lycan, turning his map pressure into a major liability. Nyx doesn't counter the wolves so much as he counters the hero controlling them.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lycan's win rate against Nyx Assassin in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lycan win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 49.42% | 172 |
| Legend & Ancient | 43.43% | 175 |
Lycan's win rate against Nyx Assassin in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lycan win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 44.75% | ▼ -3.5pp | 1,305 |
| 7.41d | 48.24% | ▲ +0.9pp | 15,526 |
| 7.41c | 47.39% | ▲ +1.6pp | 7,295 |
| 7.41b | 45.79% | — | 5,261 |
Move this data into a draft
Lycan starts on Radiant and Nyx Assassin on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.