Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phoenix wins the Lycan vs Phoenix matchup: Phoenix beats Lycan in 53.33% of 135 ranked matches.
Trying to run down a support with Shapeshift gets really awkward when Phoenix is on the other team. The attack speed slow from Fire Spirits applies to Lycan and all of his summons, completely gutting his damage output during his most important timing window. This problem extends to pushing towers, as his wolves can't effectively hit buildings or heroes under the effect. Later in the game, Lycan's physical-damage army struggles to destroy the Supernova egg in time. Phoenix can often survive the initial charge and then turn the fight around completely with a successful ultimate, stunning the whole pack and leaving Lycan exposed.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lycan's win rate against Phoenix in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lycan win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 48.89% | 135 |
| Legend & Ancient | 46.83% | 126 |
Lycan's win rate against Phoenix in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lycan win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 46.67% | ▲ +0.6pp | 135 |
| 7.41d | 46.04% | ▲ +0.9pp | 11,159 |
| 7.41c | 45.17% | ▲ +1.8pp | 8,409 |
| 7.41b | 43.39% | — | 6,790 |
Move this data into a draft
Lycan starts on Radiant and Phoenix on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.