Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Lycan wins the Lycan vs Riki matchup: Lycan beats Riki in 59.78% of 179 ranked matches.
Fighting inside a Smoke Screen is a nightmare for Lycan. The heavy miss chance from the cloud cripples the physical damage from both Lycan and his wolves, making it impossible to burst down a target as intended. This problem extends beyond that single spell. Lycan's whole game plan of using Shapeshift to run at a vulnerable hero is constantly threatened by Riki's slipperiness. Riki can easily disengage, turn the fight with Tricks of the Trade to clear the summons, or use his invisibility to pick a better engagement. Lycan relies on tempo and overwhelming a target, and Riki's entire kit is designed to diffuse that pressure and punish the commitment.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lycan's win rate against Riki in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lycan win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 51.28% | 156 |
Lycan's win rate against Riki in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lycan win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 59.78% | ▲ +12.8pp | 179 |
| 7.41d | 46.98% | ▲ +0.0pp | 12,260 |
| 7.41c | 46.93% | ▲ +0.7pp | 7,950 |
| 7.41b | 46.23% | — | 6,128 |
Move this data into a draft
Lycan starts on Radiant and Riki on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 12, 2026.