Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Lycan wins the Lycan vs Ursa matchup: Lycan beats Ursa in 50.27% of 1,289 ranked matches.
Splitting the map is often the core issue for Ursa here. Lycan creates constant pressure on multiple towers with his summons, forcing the Ursa player to choose between defending his base and grouping for objectives like Roshan. This tempo disadvantage is key. While a farmed Ursa can definitely burst down a Lycan, catching him is another matter. Lycan can use Shapeshift for its movement speed to simply run away, letting his wolves do the dangerous work of slowing and body blocking. Ursa often has to burn his gap-closers just to get through the summons, leaving him with no way to stick on the real target.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lycan's win rate against Ursa in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lycan win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 53.77% | 106 |
| Crusader & Archon | 52.40% | 208 |
| Legend & Ancient | 48.05% | 154 |
Lycan's win rate against Ursa in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lycan win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 50.27% | ▼ -0.7pp | 1,289 |
| 7.41d | 51.00% | ▼ -2.0pp | 15,911 |
| 7.41c | 53.04% | ▲ +0.2pp | 11,056 |
| 7.41b | 52.82% | — | 10,426 |
Move this data into a draft
Lycan starts on Radiant and Ursa on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.