Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Nyx Assassin wins the Nyx Assassin vs Timbersaw matchup: Nyx Assassin beats Timbersaw in 58.35% of 413 ranked matches.
Thinking Timbersaw can tank through a gank with Reactive Armor is a common mistake. Nyx Assassin has the perfect tools to dismantle him at every stage. Mana Burn is surprisingly painful against a strength hero who relies so heavily on his mana pool for mobility and damage, often leaving Timbersaw unable to Timber Chain to safety. The real problem, though, is Spiked Carapace. All of Timbersaw's area-of-effect spells, like Whirling Death, will trigger the reflection and stun him instantly. This turns his own aggression against him, making it impossible to fight back and easy for Nyx's team to finish him off.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Nyx Assassin's win rate against Timbersaw in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Nyx Assassin win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 59.20% | 125 |
| Crusader & Archon | 54.44% | 439 |
| Legend & Ancient | 65.22% | 414 |
| Divine & Immortal | 58.10% | 179 |
Nyx Assassin's win rate against Timbersaw in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Nyx Assassin win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 58.35% | ▼ -0.6pp | 413 |
| 7.41d | 58.94% | ▼ -0.1pp | 41,060 |
| 7.41c | 59.06% | ▲ +0.5pp | 17,495 |
| 7.41b | 58.56% | — | 14,038 |
Move this data into a draft
Nyx Assassin starts on Radiant and Timbersaw on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.