Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs Tusk matchup: Phoenix beats Tusk in 56.61% of 514 ranked matches.
Picking a melee initiator like Tusk into Phoenix is a difficult choice because Phoenix's kit is designed to punish that exact kind of commitment. Tusk wants to use Snowball to get on top of a target for a quick kill, but Phoenix can often escape the initial burst with Icarus Dive. Even if Tusk connects, a full salvo of Fire Spirits will cripple his attack speed, making it impossible to follow up on a Walrus Punch or fight his way out. Supernova is the real deal-breaker; Tusk is a melee hero who has to stand right next to the egg, making him an easy target while he tries to slowly chip it down.
Across the game, this dynamic forces Tusk to play cautiously. Early gank attempts on Phoenix are risky and can easily backfire once Fire Spirits are online. In teamfights, the Phoenix player can hold their spells to specifically counter Tusk's initiation. Tusk's only real option is to try and bait out Phoenix's key abilities on someone else or coordinate a massive burst on the egg with his entire team. Otherwise, he finds himself either unable to start fights or stuck in a losing position after he commits.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Phoenix's win rate against Tusk in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Phoenix win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 54.23% | 378 |
| Legend & Ancient | 54.29% | 536 |
| Divine & Immortal | 58.65% | 341 |
Phoenix's win rate against Tusk in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Phoenix win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 56.61% | ▲ +2.5pp | 514 |
| 7.41d | 54.10% | ▼ -0.7pp | 42,856 |
| 7.41c | 54.81% | ▼ -1.3pp | 29,539 |
| 7.41b | 56.16% | — | 35,904 |
Move this data into a draft
Phoenix starts on Radiant and Tusk on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.