Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Skywrath Mage wins the Timbersaw vs Skywrath Mage matchup: Skywrath Mage beats Timbersaw in 59.73% of 673 ranked matches.
Shutting down Timbersaw's game often starts by picking a Skywrath Mage against him. Timbersaw's survivability comes from Reactive Armor, which provides nothing against Skywrath's constant stream of magical damage. An Ancient Seal will amplify that damage and, more importantly, silence him, cutting off his Timber Chain escape. This leaves Timbersaw completely exposed to a full Mystic Flare combo without any way to run or fight back. He can't sustain through the harass, and he can't escape the kill attempt.
This brutal lane matchup often forces Timbersaw to abandon his lane, crippling his farm and delaying the items he needs to frontline for his team. A behind Timbersaw contributes very little to mid-game fights. The Timbersaw player must either beg for rotations to kill the Skywrath or find farm somewhere else, ceding map control. Meanwhile, Skywrath Mage is free to use his early power spike to secure kills across the map, snowballing the lead his team gained from this favorable matchup.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Timbersaw's win rate against Skywrath Mage in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Timbersaw win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 44.10% | 356 |
| Crusader & Archon | 37.82% | 698 |
| Legend & Ancient | 41.37% | 568 |
| Divine & Immortal | 43.96% | 207 |
Timbersaw's win rate against Skywrath Mage in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Timbersaw win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 40.27% | ▼ -2.1pp | 673 |
| 7.41d | 42.41% | ▼ -1.0pp | 64,427 |
| 7.41c | 43.37% | ▲ +0.7pp | 29,639 |
| 7.41b | 42.62% | — | 23,519 |
Move this data into a draft
Timbersaw starts on Radiant and Skywrath Mage on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.