Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Spectre wins the Skywrath Mage vs Spectre matchup: Spectre beats Skywrath Mage in 52.12% of 2,550 ranked matches.
Trying to burst Spectre is a losing proposition for Skywrath Mage. Spectre's Dispersion reflects damage back at her attacker, so a full Mystic Flare combo can easily result in Skywrath killing himself, especially against a Blade Mail. Even if he survives his own assault, Spectre is durable enough to withstand the burst and turn the fight. More importantly, Spectre's Haunt allows her to jump on an isolated Skywrath from anywhere on the map. He is too fragile to survive being singled out and has no escape mechanism to deal with that kind of global initiation.
This forces Skywrath to play reactively and cautiously for most of the game. He can’t safely push out lanes or ward deep, because the threat of a solo death from Haunt is always present. His team has to play more grouped to protect him, which cedes map control and gives Spectre the space she needs to farm. While a Skywrath can bully Spectre in the very early lane, her ability to recover and eventually dominate the map by picking him off makes the matchup heavily favor her as the game progresses.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Skywrath Mage's win rate against Spectre in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Skywrath Mage win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 47.53% | 1,075 |
| Crusader & Archon | 48.95% | 2,752 |
| Legend & Ancient | 48.44% | 1,918 |
| Divine & Immortal | 46.28% | 685 |
Skywrath Mage's win rate against Spectre in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Skywrath Mage win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 47.88% | ▲ +2.4pp | 2,550 |
| 7.41d | 45.44% | ▲ +1.0pp | 209,641 |
| 7.41c | 44.41% | ▼ -0.5pp | 89,843 |
| 7.41b | 44.95% | — | 84,780 |
Move this data into a draft
Skywrath Mage starts on Radiant and Spectre on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 12, 2026.