Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41f win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41f, Arc Warden wins the Arc Warden vs Earth Spirit matchup: Arc Warden beats Earth Spirit in 50.66% of 10,200 ranked matches.
Picking a mobile initiator against Arc Warden is a standard way to disrupt his game. Earth Spirit is a decent candidate for this job because he can use Rolling Boulder to get inside Magnetic Field, silence Arc Warden, and then kick him out of position. This constant threat of displacement can make the laning stage and early teamfights very difficult for a hero who prefers to stand his ground. The matchup is not a hard counter, however. A clever Arc Warden can anticipate the gank with well-placed Spark Wraiths, and the Tempest Double creates a second target that can absorb Earth Spirit's spells, letting the real hero escape or retaliate.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Earth Spirit in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 51.65% | 393 |
| Legend & Ancient | 54.98% | 502 |
| Divine & Immortal | 47.37% | 190 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Earth Spirit in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41f | 50.66% | ▼ -1.4pp | 10,200 |
| 7.41e | 52.10% | ▲ +3.1pp | 46,546 |
| 7.41d | 49.04% | ▲ +0.6pp | 23,211 |
| 7.41c | 48.40% | — | 7,752 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Earth Spirit on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Oct 4, 2026.