Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Lich wins the Arc Warden vs Lich matchup: Lich beats Arc Warden in 51.19% of 4,942 ranked matches.
Trying to burst a hero protected by Frost Shield feels frustrating. The damage reduction and slow can ruin an Arc Warden's solo kill attempts with Flux and Spark Wraiths. In teamfights, Chain Frost is also a major threat, as it can bounce between the real Arc Warden, his Tempest Double, and any nearby allies. However, Lich himself has no way to deal with the constant split-push pressure from the Tempest Double. He can't clear creep waves safely and lacks the mobility to hunt down the real Arc Warden, which creates a strategic standoff where neither hero fully counters the other.
The game often comes down to tempo. Lich's team wants to force five-on-five engagements where his ultimate and defensive spells can turn the tide. Arc Warden prefers to avoid these brawls, instead using his Double to farm the map, siege towers, and contribute to skirmishes from a distance. If Arc Warden can successfully split the map and drag the game out, Lich's direct teamfight impact becomes less relevant. But if Lich enables his team to take objectives and control the map early, Arc Warden can find himself with no space to operate.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Lich in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 44.85% | 301 |
| Crusader & Archon | 47.61% | 733 |
| Legend & Ancient | 48.30% | 617 |
| Divine & Immortal | 44.02% | 184 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Lich in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.81% | ▲ +0.7pp | 4,942 |
| 7.41d | 48.15% | ▼ -0.2pp | 53,866 |
| 7.41c | 48.33% | ▲ +0.0pp | 22,145 |
| 7.41b | 48.30% | — | 24,717 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Lich on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.