Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Arc Warden wins the Arc Warden vs Lion matchup: Arc Warden beats Lion in 53.20% of 12,569 ranked matches.
Trying to jump the real Arc Warden is Lion's whole game plan. With instant lockdown from Hex and Earth Spike, he has the tools to hold Arc Warden in place for his team to kill. The problem is always finding the right one. Arc Warden's Tempest Double lets him fight from extreme safety, forcing Lion to guess which one is real. Using Finger of Death on the clone is a disaster, but ignoring it can get Lion or his supports killed by overwhelming magic damage. This creates a tense standoff where neither hero wants to fully commit their spells to the wrong target.
As the game develops, it becomes a battle of positioning and initiation. A Lion with a Blink Dagger is a constant threat, able to appear and instantly disable Arc Warden before he can react. On the other hand, a farmed Arc Warden can make it impossible for Lion to walk anywhere on the map safely. He can use his double to scout and place Spark Wraiths, often bursting the squishy Lion before he even knows he's in danger. The outcome usually depends on which player gets the better jump, leaving the matchup feeling very dependent on execution from both sides.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Lion in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 50.64% | 859 |
| Crusader & Archon | 51.97% | 2,161 |
| Legend & Ancient | 52.32% | 1,508 |
| Divine & Immortal | 53.44% | 421 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Lion in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 53.20% | ▲ +1.2pp | 12,569 |
| 7.41d | 51.99% | ▲ +1.8pp | 138,416 |
| 7.41c | 50.14% | ▼ -0.2pp | 55,533 |
| 7.41b | 50.32% | — | 57,796 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Lion on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.