Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Arc Warden wins the Arc Warden vs Rubick matchup: Arc Warden beats Rubick in 52.26% of 8,582 ranked matches.
Picking Rubick into an Arc Warden is often a bet on stealing Tempest Double. A successful steal creates a second Rubick who can also cast stolen spells, which can be game-winning. The reality, however, is that an experienced Arc Warden knows this is the main threat. They will often use a less valuable spell like Spark Wraith last, making it difficult for Rubick to grab the spell he actually wants. While Magnetic Field is also a good steal, it's a defensive ability that Arc Warden might not even need to cast in a fight where Rubick is close enough to take it.
This dynamic leaves the matchup in a bit of a stalemate. Arc Warden is content to split-push with his double, farming from a safe distance and making it hard for Rubick to find the real hero. For Rubick to swing the game, his team needs to find and lock down the true Arc Warden, forcing him to use his defensive spells and creating an opportunity for a steal. Without that setup, Arc Warden can overwhelm the map with superior farm. The outcome really depends on which player can outmaneuver the other in those key moments.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Rubick in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 53.10% | 452 |
| Crusader & Archon | 51.04% | 1,393 |
| Legend & Ancient | 51.79% | 1,284 |
| Divine & Immortal | 50.84% | 415 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Rubick in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 52.26% | ▲ +1.0pp | 8,582 |
| 7.41d | 51.22% | ▲ +0.9pp | 91,725 |
| 7.41c | 50.31% | ▲ +1.1pp | 39,366 |
| 7.41b | 49.16% | — | 42,772 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Rubick on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.