Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Arc Warden wins the Arc Warden vs Timbersaw matchup: Arc Warden beats Timbersaw in 60.68% of 295 ranked matches.
Trying to find an opening as Timbersaw is a nightmare here. Your game plan relies on being a durable front-liner who can chain into the fight, but Arc Warden's damage is mostly magical, completely ignoring Reactive Armor. A single Flux will punish you for trying to isolate a target, holding you in place to get burst down. The real problem is the Tempest Double creating a crossfire of slows and Spark Wraiths. You can't close the distance on the real Arc Warden, and you can't survive the constant spell damage from multiple angles, leaving you feeling more like a liability than a tank.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Timbersaw in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 51.30% | 115 |
| Crusader & Archon | 57.31% | 260 |
| Legend & Ancient | 62.80% | 207 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Timbersaw in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 60.68% | ▲ +5.3pp | 295 |
| 7.41d | 55.40% | ▲ +4.2pp | 21,873 |
| 7.41c | 51.21% | ▼ -2.7pp | 8,909 |
| 7.41b | 53.90% | — | 7,648 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Timbersaw on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 12, 2026.