Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Spectre wins the Arc Warden vs Spectre matchup: Spectre beats Arc Warden in 51.87% of 800 ranked matches.
Splitting the map to farm with Tempest Double is central to Arc Warden’s game plan, but it’s exactly what Spectre wants to see. Spectre’s Haunt creates an illusion on the real Arc Warden, not his clone, instantly closing any distance he tried to create. He is a hero that relies on kiting from a safe position, but Spectre’s ultimate completely denies him that luxury. Her entire kit is built to find and punish isolated targets, and Arc Warden often plays isolated from his team by design, turning his own strength into a fatal weakness.
As the game progresses, this forces the Arc Warden player into a deeply uncomfortable position. Instead of creating pressure from afar, he has to huddle with his team for safety, limiting his farm and map control. A patient Spectre will simply farm her core items and wait for the moment Arc Warden gets greedy or is caught slightly out of position. Haunt becomes a death sentence. Arc’s main counterplay is to build defensively and never leave his team’s side, but that fundamentally cripples what his hero is designed to do.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Spectre in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Arc Warden win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 42.44% | 377 |
| Crusader & Archon | 49.40% | 828 |
| Legend & Ancient | 46.54% | 578 |
| Divine & Immortal | 46.60% | 206 |
Arc Warden's win rate against Spectre in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Arc Warden win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.12% | ▲ +2.8pp | 800 |
| 7.41d | 45.31% | ▲ +1.1pp | 58,994 |
| 7.41c | 44.24% | ▲ +1.0pp | 20,970 |
| 7.41b | 43.28% | — | 22,137 |
Move this data into a draft
Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Spectre on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.