Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Axe wins the Axe vs Timbersaw matchup: Axe beats Timbersaw in 56.53% of 1,355 ranked matches.
Thinking Timbersaw’s high armor and regeneration can stand up to Axe is a common mistake. The problem for Timbersaw is that Axe’s most important damage sources completely bypass his defenses. Counter Helix spins deal pure damage, ignoring the armor from Reactive Armor entirely. Battle Hunger is a constant magical drain that Timbersaw struggles to remove in lane without taking bad trades. Most importantly, Culling Blade provides a clean execution, instantly killing a low-health Timbersaw and preventing him from escaping or regenerating back into the fight. Axe has the perfect tools to negate everything that makes Timbersaw feel durable.
This advantage plays out from the very start of the game. Axe can bully Timbersaw out of the lane with a combination of his spin and Battle Hunger. Later on, a Blink Dagger into Berserker’s Call is a death sentence, as it prevents Timbersaw from using Timber Chain to escape. Axe actively hunts for this exact scenario, knowing his team can burst Timbersaw down to the Culling Blade threshold. Timbersaw is forced into a reactive game, having to constantly position himself away from Axe or risk getting initiated on and deleted before he can contribute to a teamfight.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Axe's win rate against Timbersaw in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Axe win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 57.97% | 502 |
| Crusader & Archon | 55.68% | 1,478 |
| Legend & Ancient | 57.59% | 1,363 |
| Divine & Immortal | 53.63% | 578 |
Axe's win rate against Timbersaw in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Axe win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 56.53% | ▲ +0.8pp | 1,355 |
| 7.41d | 55.78% | ▼ -0.7pp | 131,909 |
| 7.41c | 56.44% | ▼ -0.7pp | 59,766 |
| 7.41b | 57.18% | — | 41,954 |
Move this data into a draft
Axe starts on Radiant and Timbersaw on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.