Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Dark Willow vs Phantom Lancer matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Dark Willow in 54.28% of 877 ranked matches.
Trying to pin down Phantom Lancer is a deeply frustrating experience for Dark Willow. Her primary lockdown, Cursed Crown, can be easily dodged or dispelled by Doppelganger, which simultaneously clutters the screen with more illusions. This swarm of copies soaks up all the damage from Bedlam, making it almost useless against him. Shadow Realm offers a brief moment of safety, but a patient PL can simply wait for it to end. The very single-target control that makes her a great ally for a Phantom Lancer becomes her biggest weakness when playing against him.
While Dark Willow can hold her own during the laning stage, the game changes dramatically once Phantom Lancer starts creating illusions reliably. He can actively hunt her across the map, and she has almost no way to fight back alone. Her game plan shifts to survival, sticking close to teammates with strong area-of-effect abilities who can deal with the illusion spam. She's then reliant on landing a clutch Terrorize to scatter his army, hoping her team can find and kill the real Phantom Lancer in the chaos.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Dark Willow's win rate against Phantom Lancer in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Dark Willow win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 42.71% | 398 |
| Crusader & Archon | 44.08% | 803 |
| Legend & Ancient | 46.33% | 626 |
| Divine & Immortal | 45.52% | 290 |
Dark Willow's win rate against Phantom Lancer in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Dark Willow win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 45.72% | ▲ +2.0pp | 877 |
| 7.41d | 43.68% | ▲ +1.1pp | 66,226 |
| 7.41c | 42.57% | ▼ -0.6pp | 29,912 |
| 7.41b | 43.15% | — | 30,871 |
Move this data into a draft
Dark Willow starts on Radiant and Phantom Lancer on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.