Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Ember Spirit wins the Ember Spirit vs Lycan matchup: Ember Spirit beats Lycan in 51.69% of 1,509 ranked matches.
Choosing to pick one hero into the other rarely swings a draft. Ember Spirit can feel strong, using Sleight of Fist to clear out Lycan's wolves and chip away at the hero from a safe distance. Flame Guard also helps burn down the summons in lane. The problem is a committed gank during Shapeshift. Lycan can close the gap so fast that Ember might not have time to escape with a Fire Remnant, especially if caught without one ready. It becomes a game of chicken: Lycan needs to find that perfect all-in, while Ember has to manage his escape and poke from safety. Neither feels truly advantaged.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Ember Spirit's win rate against Lycan in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Ember Spirit win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 45.98% | 174 |
| Legend & Ancient | 45.36% | 194 |
| Divine & Immortal | 46.89% | 177 |
Ember Spirit's win rate against Lycan in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Ember Spirit win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 51.69% | ▲ +0.8pp | 1,509 |
| 7.41d | 50.90% | ▲ +3.0pp | 14,133 |
| 7.41c | 47.85% | ▼ -3.3pp | 8,161 |
| 7.41b | 51.17% | — | 5,939 |
Move this data into a draft
Ember Spirit starts on Radiant and Lycan on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.