Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Ember Spirit wins the Ember Spirit vs Rubick matchup: Ember Spirit beats Rubick in 50.97% of 17,872 ranked matches.
Stealing a key spell from Ember Spirit seems powerful, but he often controls what Rubick gets. Ember will usually cast Searing Chains or Flame Guard last, making them the easiest spells for Rubick to take with Spell Steal. While a stolen Chains is useful, it’s not the game-breaking Fire Remnant that Rubick is truly after. Meanwhile, Ember's own Flame Guard absorbs the magic damage from Fade Bolt, making him resilient to poke. Rubick's Telekinesis can hold Ember in place, but it needs a teammate to follow up with enough damage to actually break the shield.
This creates a constant cat-and-mouse game across the map. Ember Spirit has to be mindful of his spell order whenever Rubick is nearby, playing cautiously to deny the ultimate steal. Rubick, in turn, has to predict Ember's movements and be ready to capitalize on any mistake for that perfect steal. Success for either hero often comes down to who outplays the other in these key moments. If Rubick fails to get a good spell, Ember is free to split the map and apply pressure that Rubick struggles to match.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Ember Spirit's win rate against Rubick in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Ember Spirit win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 44.72% | 398 |
| Crusader & Archon | 49.44% | 1,960 |
| Legend & Ancient | 50.15% | 3,073 |
| Divine & Immortal | 50.96% | 1,721 |
Ember Spirit's win rate against Rubick in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Ember Spirit win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 50.97% | ▲ +0.1pp | 17,872 |
| 7.41d | 50.89% | ▲ +1.1pp | 187,600 |
| 7.41c | 49.79% | ▼ -0.0pp | 106,537 |
| 7.41b | 49.83% | — | 112,907 |
Move this data into a draft
Ember Spirit starts on Radiant and Rubick on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.