Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Ember Spirit wins the Ember Spirit vs Timbersaw matchup: Ember Spirit beats Timbersaw in 58.20% of 512 ranked matches.
Burning through Reactive Armor is easy for an Ember Spirit dealing primarily magical damage. Timbersaw stacks armor that does nothing against Flame Guard, making him surprisingly fragile throughout the game. If Timbersaw tries to get away, Searing Chains will root him in place and prevent any Timber Chain escape. Ember can use Fire Remnants to dictate the spacing of any fight, safely poking from a distance while dodging whatever Timbersaw throws at him. This fundamentally breaks Timbersaw's game plan, as he can never get on top of the target he needs to kill and is easily kited and bursted down.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Ember Spirit's win rate against Timbersaw in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Ember Spirit win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 53.72% | 121 |
| Crusader & Archon | 51.00% | 400 |
| Legend & Ancient | 56.15% | 447 |
| Divine & Immortal | 61.06% | 321 |
Ember Spirit's win rate against Timbersaw in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Ember Spirit win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 58.20% | ▲ +3.0pp | 512 |
| 7.41d | 55.20% | ▲ +1.8pp | 37,525 |
| 7.41c | 53.36% | ▼ -2.5pp | 18,914 |
| 7.41b | 55.83% | — | 15,984 |
Move this data into a draft
Ember Spirit starts on Radiant and Timbersaw on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.