Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Lich wins the Lich vs Timbersaw matchup: Lich beats Timbersaw in 57.33% of 600 ranked matches.
Trying to be a durable front-liner against Lich is a losing battle for Timbersaw. His entire damage output, a constant stream of magical cuts from Whirling Death and Chakram, is heavily reduced by Frost Shield. The shield not only lessens the damage but also punishes Timbersaw with a slow for even trying to attack his target. This turns his aggression into a liability. On top of that, Lich can easily interrupt a Timber Chain escape with a well-timed Sinister Gaze, pulling Timbersaw back into danger. The combination of damage reduction, slows, and a hard disable dismantles everything Timbersaw wants to do.
This advantage starts in lane, where Frost Blast makes trading difficult, and scales into teamfights. A Timbersaw that can’t effectively damage key targets or escape is a huge problem for his team. Lich can simply stand back, shield whichever core Timbersaw tries to jump on, and wait for the moment to use Chain Frost on the now-stuck frontline hero. Timbersaw’s only real option is to somehow get a clean jump on Lich first, but with good positioning, that’s a very difficult task. He's forced to play passively, which isn't his strength at all.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lich's win rate against Timbersaw in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lich win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 60.19% | 211 |
| Crusader & Archon | 57.33% | 614 |
| Legend & Ancient | 57.68% | 560 |
| Divine & Immortal | 56.45% | 248 |
Lich's win rate against Timbersaw in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lich win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 57.33% | ▲ +0.2pp | 600 |
| 7.41d | 57.14% | ▲ +1.2pp | 57,955 |
| 7.41c | 55.95% | ▼ -1.0pp | 28,799 |
| 7.41b | 56.94% | — | 22,227 |
Move this data into a draft
Lich starts on Radiant and Timbersaw on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.