Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41f win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41f, Winter Wyvern wins the Lycan vs Winter Wyvern matchup: Winter Wyvern beats Lycan in 52.84% of 4,118 ranked matches.
Thinking you can overwhelm Winter Wyvern with a full pack of summons is usually a mistake. Committing with Shapeshift often ends with Winter's Curse turning that entire army against one of your own allies. All that physical damage from Lycan and his wolves gets completely redirected, and the teamfight is lost before it even begins. Even trying to burst a specific hero can be stopped by a well-timed Cold Embrace, saving them from the initial onslaught and buying crucial time for her team to react. It's hard for Lycan to build the momentum he needs when Wyvern has a tool to counter every part of his plan.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lycan's win rate against Winter Wyvern in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lycan win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 50.47% | 107 |
Lycan's win rate against Winter Wyvern in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lycan win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41f | 47.16% | ▲ +0.4pp | 4,118 |
| 7.41e | 46.79% | ▼ -0.5pp | 12,248 |
| 7.41d | 47.28% | ▼ -0.9pp | 10,133 |
| 7.41c | 48.16% | — | 5,436 |
Move this data into a draft
Lycan starts on Radiant and Winter Wyvern on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Oct 4, 2026.